Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Halloween reflections

This blog was born on Halloween evening 6 years ago. I tapped into the coconut telegraph to despair at my own costume procrastination, to condemn my indecision. And the next day I tuned back in to describe the triumph of my last-minute genius. Against all odds, I'd done it.

Such has been the pattern of my achievements: inaction, despair, breakthrough. I am not one to stay on task out of some inner urge. My ambition, like my efforts, has always followed the law of eternal oscillation.

But I've progressed and triumphed apace nonetheless. Tomorrow I start a job. And at the same time I circle around to the central pillar of my Syracuse study: economics.

Naturally, there have been variations on the theme. I've dedicated the lion's share of my attention to micro-economic theory and mathematics, statistics and econometrics, and the history and philosophy of economics.

At Moody's Analytics I'll work on the questions and components of the macro-economy. How wonderful to be attending to issues of vitality, academic and practical relevance, and graspable complexity.

Becoming Associate Economist at Moody's is one of few large undertakings about which I've felt unequivocally positive. I believe it will give me structure, instill increased discipline, and encourage great growth both on and off the job.

The time is, as always, now. Happy Halloween!

Reading: Robert Skidelsky's John Maynard Keynes: Hopes Betrayed (1883-1920)
Listening: Daina Dieva, Svart1 "Incubi-Succubi"

Saturday, June 02, 2012

Vampire Weekend's Contra

The proliferation of essays on Vampire Weekend’s obscurely-titled, new album–Contra–should surprise no one. The independently released album, by XL Recordings, is now enjoying the top spot on the Billboard Album Chart.

VW is the polemical double-debutante of the indie pop scene. It has an appeal like a fruity, sugary, jolly Tootsie pop – a glossy sheen of pop prowess, and a mysterious center. How many licks does it take to get to the center of a Vampire Weekend album?

There are two ways to approach Contra: To achieve the elusive center, we can either deliver a swift and severe bite, like the peckish owl, or we can bestow lick-caresses, patiently and earnestly, while the musical dye stains our tongues.

Consideration between these two methods immerses us in an age old dialectic about musical analysis. Musicologists, academic and amateur, have long debated the merits and deficiencies of discussing just the music or, alternatively, the whole musical milieu.

Method one would be the brisk bite, and is sometimes referred to as positivist, structural, or scientific. It takes the recorded music to be a discreet artifact, and removes it from its social and cultural influences.

Method two would be the languid lick-job.This might be informed by sociology or cultural studies, and it would examine the history, cultural embeddedness, and mystique of the music and musicians. Both methods are useful, inevitable, and clearly complimentary. By combining the two, we balance the analysis and can dance around some of the common criticisms – that VW is preppy, elitist, lyrically remote, or that its combination of styles, including African soukous, represents a blithe cooptation of the authentic for commercial gain.

I restrain myself from going into too much detail here, because sophisticated and in-depth song-by-song analyses have been done elsewhere, such as this one in The New York Times. VW’s music is unapologetically poppy. By which I mean, it is mellifluous, lyrically accessible, relatively simple in structure, and chock full of memorable hooks and repetitive choruses.

While the adjectives “poppy” or “mainstream” can sometimes seem derogatory–and may be valid as such – Saul Williams expresses my opinion on the subject best: “That’s only a criticism if you’re a loyalist to the underground as opposed to a loyalist to good shit.”

Is Contra good shit? From the positivist perspective, the album is a collection of songs which are relatively simple, structurally, but that does not make it uncreative. To the contrary, the gentlemen of VW–led by singer Ezra Koenig–keep the rhythm and speed of the songs varied throughout, and the ebb and flow guarantee a strong level of titillation.

Contra’s instrumentation is lush and heterogeneous, representing the cherry-picked best of American, African, and English styles. Koenig’s vocals range from the strident to the spectral. VW also pumps up the post-production, relative to their self-titled debut. Those methods are particularly effective in opening space in their laconic songs for innovation and novelty.

For instance, the distorting, Auto-Tune effect on Koenig’s voice in “California English” is a refreshing embellishment to the brisk, purportedly Afro-pop sensibility. Also, check out the yelping skat on “Cousins,”–their first single and, ironically, one of my least favorite songs on the album – the strings and–what the hell is that?–harpsichord on “Taxi Cab,” the horns on the straight-forward pop-tune “Run,” and the African drum–djembe, I think–on the ballad, “I Think Ur A Contra.”  Then “Diplomat’s Son” is musically kaleidoscopic, and the most characteristic song as an appropriate analogy for the diversity of the album as a whole.

As we lick towards the full picture on VW’s Contra, it must be conceded that the underlying diversity of the album can be a double edge sword. It implies that, for every listener, there are to be some songs which grate or bore. “Holiday,” for instance, strikes me as sub-par in its redundancy, melody, and instrumentation. It tries for a British pop-punk sensibility, but falls flat. “Holiday,” along with “Cousins,” are the two most simplistic, poptastic, and repetitive songs on the album.VW balances on a tightrope of accessible and intriguing and can easily lose its sophistication and end up sounding sophomoric. Or, importantly, this is just the part of the album that appeals least to my sensibility. Chances are that some listeners prefer these songs and dis-prefer those I find most fresh and electrifying.

Lyrically, Contra is somewhat obscure, which can also be seen as arrogant or remote by some listeners. It is erudite on pop culture and redolent of international travel and American upper-middle-classism. One can be turned off by this, but I take it to be an opportunity for education and rich interpretation.  “California English,” for instance, is packed with references: to “Hapa Club” (Hapa refers to a person of mixed Asian or Pacific Islander ethnic heritage), “carob cake” (from a tree found only in the Mediterranean) as well as a high-flying geographic panoply, not to mention Tom’s Organic Toothpaste.

VW’s music is representative of the eclecticism of the contemporary age, what with globalization and the rise of youth-inspired cosmopolitanism. The gentlemen of VW are unbounded, like the wealthy youth of the western world (and, more and more, the youth of the world): internationally minded, cultural cherry-pickers, innovative about mixing and melding.

They channel the feeling of internationalized manifest destiny which is unique to today’s millenial generation. That they are somehow elitist and prepified is undeniable: they represent a cultural trend which is rooted in wealth and the inequality of international globalization. However, to criticize them for those external cultural aspects is to create an ad hominem, which has no bearing on the discreet artifact that is their recorded music.Those that emphasize the relevance of this fact, more often than not belong to and benefit from the same generational and cultural mold.

The fact that VW’s music is called “Upper West Side Soweto,” and derives influence from Congolese soukous is an object of interest, but more importantly, integral to the band’s commercial success. We do not care all that much what soukous is or what elements of it are in VW’s music. If we have dire fears of cultural imperialism, the hegemony of commercial capitalism, or the cooptation of the “authentic” for the sake of the “artificial,”  they are not reflected in patterns of musical consumption. We just like the music and adore the international flair, the sheen of mystery. Unlike the contra-revolutionaries of late 20th century Nicaragua, we are contra-nothing except bad taste and mediocre music.

Vampire Weekend has done a particularly good job of exploiting our (some combination of American; international; youth; upper-; middle-; class) omnivorous multiculturalism, growing apathy and agnosticism towards origin and authenticity, and our inherent privilege and prepiness, even in those who do not dress like Oxford dons.

-Note: Reprint from when I was editor and contributor at WERW 1570's student radio and music blog at Syracuse University. Contra was released January 12, 2010. My show was called Brad and The Unbounded One.

Sunday, May 27, 2012

Too much text

Urge of the demi


You
And I
Are not one.
You take for granted
That I take for granted.
But what if I know myself?
What if I know what I know
And know what I don't know?
What if the world's more duping
Than duped? More deceiving than
Deceived? What if the only true things
Are paradoxes? And the only true things
Are ineffable? But there is an extinguishing
In the blue hour, of a small and isolate thing,
When an ectoplasm struggles to exist or erupt
From the static form formerly filled in and warm.
But no, nothing. Nothing brushed my face, no moth
wing wafted my ear, nothing numinous oozed away.
Fuck death. Fuck death and dying, I'm sick of trying
To care about carelessness. The point's been much made
And death poetry will not be forgiven. But what poetry will
Be forgiven its importunate existence, time and energy eating,
Silk-lipped mouths, still toothy, pap-hungering, all glossolaling.
Excuse me if I'm an anti-edificer here respecting neither fronteirs
Nor roles. I'm not sorry. I've tipped passed the point of pardonable
Eccentricity into po-mo multiplicity, unhinged Zappaism, iconoclastic
Scribbomania, an artificer of worlds unbounded, over eager, word drunk.
I seek to hold and spellbind you and myself with my prosthetic proselytizing
and imperfect cosmos. Ingeminate me. Or spurn me. It's all the same. It's all been
stamped, felt, built, killed. Coding's easier than decoding. Bellies bloat on the immaterial.
I am one of many. We're all in mystery. We refuge in representation's ever order of the day,
Each era is overtaken in the unfathomed advance that berefts bedrock but leaves not nothing,
Perhaps interstitial nets for the networked, intersecting in n-dimensions, dew-sodden and tenuous.
I grant that I take for granted that you take for granted. But perhaps our for-granteds synergize or cancel-out and
We know that we know and we know that what we know is as nothing as everything. Our worlds and words are
Inscribed in level sand and a moth wind wafts. We are voiced and eructating and we may not be one but we are not alone.

Sunday, May 13, 2012

Quatrains

-
Flipping felines yowl
"Copycat me pussy!
With sure celerity
I never fall afoul."

Re-posted here.

-
Kiss-me-quick toes,
Giantess arches,
Gorgonzola veins:
Endless delectations.

Re-posted here.

-
Fight or settle.
For what; what on?
Here I am, Salt Lake.
Move along...wait, stay Mormon.

-
Here I am, dank swamp,
Retrograde river romp.
Here I am in the ether.
I’m an eel in the ether.

-
Here I am, the womb.
I'm a parasite in the womb.
I'm a sybarite in the womb.
Can't keep me down.

-
Manifest destiny's
Logical conclusion's
A Pacific of pilgrims,
But, “We shall build here.”

-
Balustrade autarky,
Inside I'm free.
Percutaneous X,
We inter-annex.

-
Take nothing
Tell no lie
Grow towards the sun
Until you Icarus.

Friday, April 27, 2012

Economics is no physics: Reading List

Before writing, it's instructive to dredge Google to see how many people have, with more wit and expertise, already treated your topic. Blog proliferation means there will be many primaries, secondaries, and nibblers (I fit into this category). Of course, if I wrote only about the unwritten I'd sit on my hands all day. But information about quantity and quality of material may motivate a new publishing strategy.

In that spirit, instead of soap-boxing, here's a non-exhaustive list of resources supporting the obvious premise that economics/finance and physics are substantively different in method and explanatory and predictive success. Most argue that economics is harder than physics and our models of physical systems are better than our models of economic systems.

Of course, doing economics is not necessarily harder than doing physics. Comparing modeling precision between the two is like comparing field goal percentage vs. batting averages and concluding that basketball is harder than baseball. It's not. They're different. They have different measures of difficulty and success. Transposing the sets of working economists and physicists would not lead to an ascendancy of accuracy in the former, but maybe some decline in the latter. Disciplinary constraints disallow massive and rapid change.

Anyway, gadflying does little to reduce the contention that economic systems are, in some ways, more complex than physical ones because they have more intractable uncertainty. We have less epistemic access to system elements and relations. But beyond that, there persist significant differences in methodology: modeling goals, evidence, experimentation. And then there are complications of recursivity and "values." See the resources.

The Spengler (1) and my paper (6) are more about the positive-normative dichotomy in the history of economics, a debate which nonetheless turns on to what degree economics is a science and economists scientists. The Lo and Mueller (2) builds on Frank Knight on types of uncertainty as determinants of modeling precision. Fourcade (4) and Fox (5) provide comments. Black (5) summarizes. Gilboa et al. (7) are methodology-minded economists that formally model economic models as analogous to analogies.

Everybody quotes Richard Feynman (at a Caltech graduation):
“Imagine how much harder physics would be if electrons had feelings!”
But Joseph J. Spengler preceded him by a long shot.

1 Joseph J. Spengler, "Have Values a Place in Economics" 1934.
However the economist defines economics and its problems...he is dealing with relationships of man to man and of man to natural resources. The physicist, on the contrary, is merely dealing with waves, rays, protons, etc., per se. The geneticist is dealing with chromosomes, genes, etc., per se. Neither is dealing with the manner in which human communities employ rays, waves, genes, etc. The economist, therefore, faces what the physicist and the geneticist do not face, namely, questions impinging upon the value-scales which characterize modern society. For as the late Allyn Young remarked, "Every occurrence in the contemporary life is...a scientific datum, which has to be fitted  into the ordered scheme of social processes. Every such occurrence has its own immediate and concrete significance, and has to be accorded its due weight  in any system of social values...Of social  processes we reserve the right to approve or disapprove."
and later
"To postulate an opinionless economist is to postulate an empirically impossible creature (331)."
2 Andrew Lo and Mark Mueller. 2010 (draft). "Warning: physics envy may be hazardous to your wealth!" simplified in the talk and blog post.
"Physics envy... this desire to explain 99.9% of all economic phenomena with three laws. That's what physicists do. In fact, we [economists] have 99 laws that explain 3% of phenomena." (from the talk)

3 Marion Fourcade (sociology). "Paul Krugman: the wicked economist?"-- short.

4 Justin Fox. "Physicists don't love economists and other revelations." -- short, comic.

5 Dan Black. (power point) "On the intrinsic differences between the physical and social sciences." -- Nice introduction with formal example.

6 Turner, Bradley. 2009. "The economic dichotomy and investigator behavior." -- college essay.

7 Gilboa, et al. at the Penn Institute for Economic Research. "Economic Models as Analogies"
"Indeed, there is no reason that it would be easier to predict stock market crashes than it would be to predict earthquakes. In fact, the opposite is true: because people react to theories, predicting human behavior has theoretical bounds beyond those that are shared by the natural sciences."

Thursday, April 26, 2012

Id for ideas? (no Freud at all)

Do ideas excite you?
Do they drive you
like a bullock whip
Or pull you
Like a magnet?

Are ideas internal
Possessing intrinsic
effervescence, velocity?,
Personal vectors
Of being and doing?

Are they social fodder
For connection
And contestation,
Lubricants of the day to day.
Are we ideational men and women?

Are ideas higher or more
Than other things?
More vital, noble, profound,
Unadulterated or distilled,
Disconnected?

What are ideas anyway?,
If anything at all,
What do they touch?
Where do they fit?
And what are they not?

Ideas are not deities,
(But maybe vice versa),
Nor material or palpable things,
Like viscera
And stock options.

They could be science,
After our knowledge alembic,
But may be more aesthetic,
Like bird's songs,
Possessing singular transience.

Ideas are probably relations,
By virtue of binding,
And almost definitely information,
Bits, that is, guiding
For instance, geese to migration.

Ideas might be
more like instruments than songs
For a role in achieving.
Or perhaps ideals
Infinitely reaching.

But do ideas excite you?
Or does some other thing?
Baser and simpler
Impulses and incentives,
With which we're all familiar.

Money is motivating,
Profane and material.
But without nutrition,
Vacuously instrumental,
For what, for what?

Maybe hedonism helps,
Ideas with directives:
All voluptuous things.
But lamentably tempered
by treadmills and falling returns.

We'd shelter in
Basic needs satisfaction
If it weren't so human
To want more and higher
Forms of gratification.

What then are these more-wanting
and demeaning returns,
If not ideas as natural laws?,
However contingent and uncovering,
Are ideas also governing?

Whatever it is they are or do,
Do ideas excite you?
Are you even excited?
I won't blame you
If you're not.

Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Quotations: invention, imitation, transposition

Randy Cohen: What is benign in one setting can be toxic in another. (Chainsaws: useful in the forest, dubious at the dinner table. Or as Dr. Johnson put it in a pre-chainsaw age, “A cow is a very good animal in the field; but we turn her out of a garden.”) (*)

Malcolm Gladwell: "I have two parallel things I'm interested in: collecting interesting stories and collecting interesting research. What I'm looking for is where they overlap."

Jean-Luc Godard: It’s not where you take things from—it’s where you take them to.

Jonathan Lethem: Any text is woven entirely with citations, references, echoes, cultural languages, which cut across it through and through in a vast stereophony. The citations that go to make up a text are anonymous, untraceable, and yet already read; they are quotations without inverted commas. The kernel, the soul--let us go further and say the substance, the bulk, the actual and valuable material of all human utterances--is plagiarism. For substantially all ideas are secondhand, consciously and unconsciously drawn from a million outside sources, and daily used by the garnerer with a pride and satisfaction born of the superstition that he originated them; whereas there is not a rag of originality about them anywhere except the little discoloration they get from his mental and moral caliber and his temperament, and which is revealed in characteristics of phrasing. Old and new make the warp and woof of every moment. There is no thread that is not a twist of these two strands. By necessity, by proclivity, and by delight, we all quote. Neurological study has lately shown that memory, imagination, and consciousness itself is stitched, quilted, pastiched. If we cut-and-paste our selves, might we not forgive it of our artworks? "The Ecstasy of Influence" Harper's Magazine, Feb. 2007, p. 68.

Pablo Neruda: "Writers are always interchanging in some way, just as the air we breathe doesn’t belong to one place. The writer is always moving from house to house: he ought to change his furniture. Some writers feel uncomfortable at this. I remember that Federico GarcĂ­a Lorca was always asking me to read my lines, my poetry, and yet in the middle of my reading, he would say, “Stop, stop! Don’t go on, lest you influence me!" (Paris Review, The Art of Poetry 14)

Isaac Newton: "If I have seen further it's by standing on ye shoulders of Giants," in a letter to Robert Hooke

John Padgett and Woody Powell: Emergence of novelty is not virgin birth. Everything, even the origin of life itself, is a combination and recombination of other things in its accessible context... Understanding the emergence of objects, therefore, is a matter of deconstructing objects into the transformational flows that construct and sustain them. Viewed from the perspective of flows, objects are the folding and refolding of their context – namely, of the ecology or network of other objects with which those objects interact... For example, stability of the human body through time means not mechanical fixity of parts; it means organic reproduction of parts in flux. Viewed as chemical reactions, we are vortexes in the material life that wends through us all. (*) (forthcoming The Emergence of Organizations and Markets, Princeton U. Press)

Janwillem van de Wetering: The Daimyo : "What would I be? A good question. I have no answer. My mind is clouded by the countless thoughts with which I have identified myself and which have all left their traces." (*) (an interview)

Harrison White: You can be assured that, for each idea, quite a number of substantial, and often independent, discussions and implementations could be cited: Ideas that have any importance, any impact, do, after all, come in company, not as isolates, and the essayist is mostly a transcriber of ideas abroad in his networks" (1994a, p. 4) in Emirbayer 1997

Eric Hoffer: Total innovation is a flight from comparison and also from imitation. Those who discover things for themselves and express them in their own way are not overly bothered by the fact that others have already discovered these things, have even discovered them over and over again and have expressed what they found in all manner of ways. 1960, from his notebooks.

The Books:


Sunday, March 25, 2012

Murakami's A Wild Sheep Chase (spoilers)

"Sometimes I get lonely
Sleeping with you," she said.
"Just great," I said, "Just great."
I was already lost.
She was the kind of girl
That'd sleep with anyone,
I was mediocre,
But OK about it.
It was improbable
That such a person as
Myself could be living,
That such a relation
As ours could last for long.

Another girl, with an
Auricular something,
"You know nothing," she said,
"For sure," I said, "For sure."
On a wild sheep chase,
Ovine totemism,
A vital dynamo,
A fixed point in time space.
Points have no names nor selves,
Suspended over all,
Sheep have both,
A Will, a whip, a host,
Scourging blood for weakness.
"People are weak," I said.
"You don't know this thing," he said,
Gangrene rot worsening,
"That exists in the world."

"Where's the time go?" she asked,
We were close then,
Closer than ever, before the end.
"Time adds up for us," I said,
"But it does not expand,"
No, time does not expand.
Time trails off into death,
Darkness alone shifting,
Like mercury motion,
Voiceless snow falling soft,
Afterward all silent,
Inexpressible cleave.
Getting back to normal,
On a cold, concrete sea,
All alone with the dead,
And ears to hear the waves.

Note: this is "plagiarized" from the text, more of a tessellation of quotes than a novel effort.

Monday, March 19, 2012

Too much text